Risk Part 3: Uncontrollable Risk
In this piece, we look at some of the risks of investing in Bitcoin that are beyond mitigation or are impracticable to mitigate, which we define as uncontrollable risks. Furthermore, conclusions will be drawn to determine whether or not these uncontrollable risks may become controllable in the future.
Why do People Look at Bitcoin’s Price on a Log Scale?
Despite first being launched on January 3rd, 2009, Bitcoin had no market value until over a year and a half later, first trading for around 5 US cents in July 2010. Just over 13 years later, a single bitcoin was worth approximately US$39,000 - a growth of just under 80 million percent (80,000,000%) since its inception.
Risk Part 2: Bitcoin Idiosyncrasies
It can be difficult to comprehend the concept of Bitcoin. Its nature is often shrouded in speculation, especially regarding its purpose and ramifications on the global financial system and society as a whole. This speculation breeds uncertainty about Bitcoin’s risks and the tools necessary to protect oneself against them.
Risk Part 1: Looking at Bitcoin Through the Risk Lens
In order to fully understand the risks associated with Bitcoin, we must first understand the concept of risk itself. After understanding traditional definitions of risk and various risk management frameworks, we can see whether these frameworks are relevant or not.
Volatility of Bitcoin
Bitcoin has been garnering significant attention as it begins to be adopted by a wider range of investors. The investor base is starting to shift from retail investors to large institutions. Naturally, questions regarding its volatility and legitimacy as an investment opportunity will arise.
The Origins and Evolution of Bitcoin
As Bitcoin enters its second decade, it is opportune to reflect on its transformation from a monetary thought experiment, the first recorded transactional use being to buy pizza, into a fully-fledged financial ecosystem that has garnered significant interest, both from retail and institutional investors.
How to Value Bitcoin
In a canonical July 2010 Bitcointalk.org forum post by Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin’s creator, they said “Sorry for being a wet blanket. Writing a description for this thing for general audiences is bloody hard. There’s nothing to relate it to.” Because Bitcoin is so hard to describe, define or contextualise, people can barely agree on what Bitcoin is, let alone how to value it.
Digital Asset Regulation in Australia: Where to from here?
The unprecedented influx of demand for digital-asset investments has exposed limitations in Australia’s existing regulatory framework. As ASIC, AUSTRAC and the ATO work to implement an appropriate regulatory framework for these new assets, rapid investment continues into a space which is absent of significant regulatory oversight.